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Rail Freight Transport

Analysis of the Extension of Subsidies Through 2035

The Federal Council intends to extend subsidies for trans-Alpine rail freight transport through 2035. The proposal extends a temporary measure and adjusts the subsidy amount. An analysis based on the mandate, findings, and impact.
Die SBB macht beim Einzelwagenladungsverkehr Nägel mit Köpfen. SBB is taking decisive action in single-carload freight transport. Les CFF passent à la vitesse supérieure en matière de transport par wagons complets isolés.
© SBB CFF FFS
THE KEY POINTS IN BRIEF
• The bill extends operating subsidies for combined transport through 2035 and allocates approximately 486 million Swiss francs from the mineral oil tax.
• The modal shift target remains unmet, as the rail share is declining and the number of trips is significantly higher than the statutory requirement.
• The measure stabilizes the system in the short term, but a trend reversal would require reliable train paths, better feeder routes, and clear price signals.

The shift from road to rail is stalling. That is why the Fed­er­al Coun­cil intends to extend sub­si­dies for trans-Alpine rail freight trans­port. In total, approx­i­mate­ly 486 mil­lion Swiss francs are to be allo­cat­ed to trans-Alpine rail freight trans­port by 2035. Accord­ing to the Fed­er­al Council’s announce­ment, the con­sul­ta­tion peri­od runs until August 11, 2026.

The basis for this is the con­sti­tu­tion­al pro­tec­tion of the Alps. Arti­cle 84 of the Fed­er­al Con­sti­tu­tion man­dates the shift of freight tran­sit to rail. The 1994 Alpine Ini­tia­tive spec­i­fies the tar­get at 650,000 truck trips per year. This tar­get serves as a legal bench­mark.

Current Assessment of Target Achievement

The data is clear. In 2024, the fed­er­al gov­ern­ment record­ed approx­i­mate­ly 960,000 trans-Alpine truck trips. That is 310,000 more than the statu­to­ry modal shift tar­get. The modal split is also dete­ri­o­rat­ing. The rail share fell to 70.3 per­cent between 2022 and 2024. The cur­rent­ly report­ed fig­ure of 68.6 per­cent con­tin­ues this trend.

Instruments and Logic of Impact

The bill extends oper­at­ing sub­si­dies for unac­com­pa­nied com­bined trans­port until 2035. The fed­er­al gov­ern­ment will refrain from phas­ing out these sub­si­dies until 2029; start­ing in 2030, the amount will decrease. A total of approx­i­mate­ly 486 mil­lion Swiss francs will be allo­cat­ed from the min­er­al oil tax. The sub­si­dies have a sup­port­ive effect but do not serve as a steer­ing mech­a­nism. The per­for­mance-based heavy-vehi­cle tax remains the cen­tral steer­ing instru­ment.

Risks and Context

Sev­er­al fac­tors are ham­per­ing the shift. Con­struc­tion work on the north-south axis is reduc­ing reli­a­bil­i­ty. In addi­tion, the rolling highway—which han­dles around 70,000 trips per year—will be dis­con­tin­ued at the end of 2025. This increas­es the risk of a rever­sal of the shift. The pro­pos­al is intend­ed to mit­i­gate this effect.

Measure Stabilizes the System in the Short Term

The mea­sure sta­bi­lizes the sys­tem in the short term. It does not ini­ti­ate a trend rever­sal. That would require reli­able train paths, for­eign feed­er lines, and price sig­nals. The con­sul­ta­tion peri­od, which runs through August 2026, will reveal which stake­hold­ers are call­ing for which adjust­ments.

What does the modal shift tar­get reg­u­late?

It lim­its trans-Alpine truck trips to 650,000 per year. The basis for this is the 1994 Alpine Ini­tia­tive.

The tar­get will not be met. In 2024, approx­i­mate­ly 960,000 trucks crossed the Alps, and the share of rail trans­port is declin­ing.

The per­for­mance-based heavy vehi­cle fee (LSVA). Oper­at­ing sub­si­dies com­ple­ment it but do not replace it.

It sta­bi­lizes com­bined trans­port through 2035. It does not reverse the trend.

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