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CEP Study 2025

Parcel industry continues robust growth in 2024

The parcel industry in Germany will grow by 2.8% in 2024, with a shipment volume of 4.29 billion and a turnover of 27.6 billion euros. This continues a trend that can essentially be applied to all markets, including Switzerland.
Bundesverband Paket- und Expresslogistik e. V. (BPEX)
THE KEY POINTS IN BRIEF
• The parcel industry in Germany will grow by 2.8% in 2024, with 4.29 billion shipments.
• The B2C segment will grow by 5.5%, while B2B will decline.
• A volume of 5.19 billion shipments is expected by 2030, with a focus on trends and innovations.

The couri­er, express and par­cel mar­ket (CEP) in Ger­many will grow robust­ly in 2024. This is shown by the lat­est CEP Study 2025 pub­lished by the Ger­man Par­cel and Express Logis­tics Asso­ci­a­tion (BPEX). The total vol­ume of ship­ments will grow by 115 mil­lion to around 4.29 bil­lion. This cor­re­sponds to an increase of 2.8%. Total rev­enue will increase by 4.1% to around 27.6 bil­lion euros. This means that the par­cel indus­try will remain on a sta­ble growth path despite the dif­fi­cult devel­op­ment of the glob­al econ­o­my. In 2024, around 266,300 peo­ple will be employed in the par­cel indus­try. That is 5,800 or 2.2% more employ­ees than in the pre­vi­ous year.

5.5% increase in B2C, 1.6% decrease in B2B

Due to growth in online retail, pri­vate cus­tomer busi­ness in par­tic­u­lar will con­tin­ue to grow in 2024. B2C ship­ments will increase by 5.5% in 2024 and will now account for 60% of all CEP ship­ments. In con­trast, the vol­ume of B2B ship­ments (ship­ments from busi­ness to busi­ness) will decline by 1.6%. This is main­ly due to weak domes­tic eco­nom­ic activ­i­ty and demand. The vary­ing devel­op­ment of mar­ket seg­ments over the course of the year shows that the par­cel indus­try is not immune to the dif­fi­cult glob­al eco­nom­ic sit­u­a­tion.

‘Politicians must also deliver’

‘We are liv­ing in tur­bu­lent times, in which the CEP indus­try is keep­ing the econ­o­my and soci­ety run­ning,’ says Marten Bossel­mann, Chair­man of BPEX. “The robust growth of almost three per­cent is a reflec­tion of an indus­try that is evolv­ing – with smart solu­tions, new tech­nolo­gies and a keen sense of what cus­tomers expect today: speed, reli­a­bil­i­ty and, increas­ing­ly, sus­tain­abil­i­ty. To enable con­tin­ued growth, politi­cians must also deliv­er. That means less bureau­cra­cy and reg­u­la­tion, as well as prac­ti­cal guide­lines and sen­si­ble report­ing require­ments,” demands Bossel­mann.

Around 5.19 billion shipments will be possible in 2030

If the fore­casts prove accu­rate, a total ship­ment vol­ume of 5.19 bil­lion ship­ments can be expect­ed by 2030. This would cor­re­spond to an aver­age annu­al growth rate of 3.2%. The num­ber of CEP ship­ments trans­port­ed could exceed the 5 bil­lion mark as ear­ly as 2029.

KEP Study 2025 highlights key trends up to 2030

The CEP study has been pub­lished annu­al­ly since 2004 and is com­piled by KE-CONSULT Kurte&Esser GbR on behalf of BPEX. It pro­vides an up-to-date and com­pre­hen­sive pic­ture of mar­ket devel­op­ments, trends and the eco­nom­ic sig­nif­i­cance of the entire CEP sec­tor in Ger­many. In a spe­cial chap­ter, the CEP Study 2025 high­lights the key trends in the indus­try until 2030. The focus is par­tic­u­lar­ly on out-of-home deliv­ery, inter­na­tion­al trade and e‑commerce, invest­ments in cyber and phys­i­cal secu­ri­ty, and future require­ments for the job pro­file of deliv­ery per­son­nel.

The study is avail­able for down­load here.

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Picture of Erwin Kartnaller

Erwin Kartnaller

Erwin Kartnaller has been a fixture in Swiss trade journalism covering commercial vehicles and mobility for over four decades. After 16 years working for daily newspapers and family magazines, he moved into trade media and wrote for virtually every commercial vehicle magazine published in Switzerland, with very few exceptions. For nine and a half years, he was editor-in-chief of the Swiss Commercial Vehicle Association ASTAG's magazine, where his precise language and clear stance had a lasting impact on industry communication. This was followed by positions in the automotive industry, including at Eurotax autoinformation and aboutFLEET. He also wrote specialist articles for Auto&Wirtschaft and Auto Bild Schweiz. With his platform www.ekacom.com (http://www.ekacom.com/), he continued to wield his “sharp pen” – an independent voice for clear words and pointed commentary. In his last professional role as editor-in-chief of Polyscope, he immersed himself in the world of electronics – a field that is increasingly shaping mobility. Today, after his active professional life, Erwin Kartnaller is once again devoting himself entirely to his passion on the mobility-360.ch platform: mobility in all its facets.
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