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The market for the recycling of electric car batteries...

…could generate 95 billion dollars by 2040

The global shift towards electromobility is making the recycling of lithium-ion batteries a key sector of the circular economy – with a market potential of over 95 billion US dollars by 2040.
Institut für Seltene Erden und Metall
THE KEY POINTS IN BRIEF
• Recycling will become a key factor for resource security and sustainable electromobility.
• China dominates today, while the USA and the EU are expanding capacities significantly.
• By 2040, a global market of over 95 billion USD annually is expected.

The mar­ket for the recy­cling of elec­tric car bat­ter­ies is grow­ing rapid­ly. Ris­ing elec­tro­mo­bil­i­ty, scarce raw mate­ri­als, and polit­i­cal reg­u­la­tions are dri­ving demand. A glob­al mar­ket vol­ume of over 95 bil­lion US dol­lars is expect­ed by 2040. Recy­cling reduces costs, depen­den­cies, and envi­ron­men­tal bur­dens.

Growing market through electromobility

The mar­ket for the recy­cling of elec­tric car bat­ter­ies is devel­op­ing into a cen­tral com­po­nent of the glob­al cir­cu­lar econ­o­my. The ris­ing demand for lithi­um-ion bat­ter­ies dri­ves the need for an effec­tive recov­ery of valu­able raw mate­ri­als. Elec­tric vehi­cles use mate­ri­als such as lithi­um, nick­el, cobalt, and graphite, which can be returned to the cycle through recy­cling.

Rising raw material demand due to clean energy technologies

Clean ener­gy tech­nolo­gies increase the demand for crit­i­cal min­er­als. By 2040, lithi­um, nick­el, and cobalt will be used to a large extent in bat­tery pro­duc­tion. Bat­ter­ies are already today the most impor­tant dri­ver for glob­al lithi­um demand.

Challenges in waste disposal and sustainability

With world­wide around 60 mil­lion elec­tric cars and increas­ing pro­duc­tion, the amount of old bat­ter­ies is grow­ing sig­nif­i­cant­ly. The lifes­pan of a vehi­cle bat­tery is between 8 to 12 years. There­fore, in the com­ing years, a large return of bat­ter­ies is expect­ed, mak­ing recy­cling an eco­log­i­cal neces­si­ty.

State strategies and regulation worldwide

Gov­ern­ments in Europe, the USA, and Chi­na are set­ting clear guide­lines:

EU: Min­i­mum per­cent­ages of recy­cled raw mate­ri­als in bat­ter­ies.

USA: Tax incen­tives for elec­tric vehi­cles with recy­cled mate­ri­als.

Chi­na: Lead­ing in trace­abil­i­ty, reuse, and met­al recov­ery.

These mea­sures pro­mote invest­ments and strength­en region­al sup­ply chains.

Recycling process: From black mass to raw materials

The recy­cling process is car­ried out in two stages:

  1. Pre-treat­ment: Crush­ing and sort­ing into “black mass”.
  2. Refin­ing: Hydromet­al­lur­gy or Pyromet­al­lur­gy for the recov­ery of pure met­als.

 

Chi­na cur­rent­ly dom­i­nates both pre-pro­cess­ing and refin­ing.

Economic perspectives until 2040

By 2040, an annu­al mar­ket vol­ume of over 95 bil­lion USD is expect­ed. The recov­ery of bat­tery mate­ri­als already gen­er­ates sig­nif­i­cant eco­nom­ic ben­e­fits. Future poten­tial lies in deep recy­cling and local­ly inte­grat­ed sup­ply chains.

For more detailed infor­ma­tion on the top­ic

Since 2011, the Insti­tute for Rare Earths and Strate­gic Met­als stands for exper­tise, trans­paren­cy, and inno­va­tion in the inter­na­tion­al met­al mar­ket. As an inde­pen­dent analy­sis and eval­u­a­tion insti­tute, we deter­mine reli­able mar­ket prices for rare earths, base met­als, minor met­als, exot­ic met­als, and sta­ble iso­topes.

Based on our exten­sive data­base, we cre­ate pro­fes­sion­al val­u­a­tions and bank audits and sup­port our clients with well-found­ed analy­ses at the high­est tech­ni­cal lev­el. More­over, we orga­nize the safe trans­port, stor­age, and insur­ance of ultra-pure met­als.

With our trad­ing plat­form that has been in oper­a­tion since 2018, we cre­ate direct access to an exclu­sive mar­ket seg­ment and accom­pa­ny com­pa­nies, as well as investors, in the suc­cess­ful mon­e­ti­za­tion of their valu­able met­al stocks.

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